Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/5 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+66.7pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 24,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +50.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -22.8 | -11.7 | +44.2 | -9.8 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 14% | 61% | 16% | -8.5 | +31.9 | -10.2 | -13.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 24,000 | 7% | 34% | 48% | 11% | -14.5 | +50.3 | -22.9 | -12.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 82% | 15% | 2% | 0.0 | +3.2 | -2.8 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 1% | 84% | 12% | 3% | -2.0 | -2.3 | -0.7 | +5.0 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 7,700 from Setokuma Naoki | 1% | 84% | 12% | 3% | +0.8 | -3.3 | +18.8 | -16.3 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Draw | 1% | 77% | 21% | 2% | -1.8 | -2.6 | +1.8 | +2.6 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 3,900 | 1% | 74% | 24% | 2% | -2.2 | -5.6 | +10.8 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 7 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 1% | 64% | 34% | 1% | +15.3 | -17.8 | +5.7 | -3.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 2% | 46% | 49% | 2% | +0.3 | +0.3 | +1.9 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 46% | 52% | 1% | -12.4 | -0.3 | -2.4 | +15.1 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 48% | 51% | 2% | -4.0 | +24.6 | -15.8 | -4.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 0% | 80% | 20% | 1% | -13.7 | -4.2 | +12.9 | +5.0 |
| South 3 | Wakutsu Akira ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 71% | 29% | 0% | +11.8 | +10.4 | -19.1 | -3.1 |
| South 4 | Wakutsu Akira ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 95% | 4% | 0% | +21.8 | -5.8 | -1.1 | -14.9 |