Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/5 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +33.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | +11.4 | -2.7 | -1.7 | -7.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 23% | 24% | 21% | -13.8 | -6.0 | +22.0 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 19% | 41% | 19% | -0.2 | +6.4 | -3.3 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 22% | 24% | 37% | 18% | -1.0 | -3.1 | +23.0 | -18.9 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 17% | 16% | 58% | 8% | +14.4 | +0.5 | -12.5 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 28% | 19% | 46% | 8% | +2.2 | +24.6 | -22.3 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Draw | 31% | 39% | 25% | 5% | +7.4 | -4.8 | -2.6 | 0.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 37% | 33% | 24% | 6% | +33.9 | -14.3 | -12.9 | -6.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 75% | 13% | 10% | 2% | -2.1 | +5.5 | -4.5 | +1.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 75% | 17% | 6% | 2% | -7.1 | +3.1 | +4.4 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 65% | 22% | 11% | 2% | -2.3 | +12.1 | -9.9 | +0.1 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 61% | 31% | 6% | 2% | +2.1 | -13.0 | -10.2 | +21.0 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 6,000 | 71% | 17% | 5% | 7% | -5.3 | -10.7 | +21.9 | -5.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 66% | 12% | 14% | 8% | +10.5 | +5.0 | -7.9 | -7.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 82% | 9% | 4% | 5% | +14.3 | -21.9 | +17.4 | -9.8 |