Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/7 Game 1
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+75.0pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 18,000 from Akira Wakutsu, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +46.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +3.8 | -2.5 | +4.5 | -5.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 27% | 22% | 28% | 23% | -6.6 | 0.0 | +23.3 | -16.7 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Makoto Sawazaki | 20% | 21% | 46% | 13% | +3.0 | -10.0 | +8.5 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Akira Wakutsu | 21% | 13% | 55% | 11% | -13.3 | +1.1 | +0.9 | +11.3 |
| East 4 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 13% | 14% | 58% | 15% | -1.0 | +21.9 | +2.3 | -23.2 |
| South 1 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 11% | 23% | 60% | 6% | -29.8 | +31.7 | -4.8 | +3.0 |
| South 2 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,900 from Akira Wakutsu | 0% | 53% | 43% | 3% | -4.3 | +11.4 | -6.3 | -0.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 69% | 29% | 2% | +3.8 | -1.3 | -0.2 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 18,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 0% | 70% | 28% | 2% | -27.4 | -24.6 | +46.0 | +6.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 0% | 10% | 90% | 1% | -0.2 | -14.0 | +2.3 | +11.9 |
| South 4 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +12.2 | -0.7 | -1.6 | -9.9 |