Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/7 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+75.0pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 18,000 from Wakutsu Akira, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +46.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 26% | 25% | +5.0 | -6.4 | +2.5 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 28% | 21% | 28% | 24% | -3.6 | +1.2 | +25.6 | -23.2 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Sawazaki Makoto | 23% | 20% | 47% | 11% | -0.2 | -8.8 | +8.6 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Wakutsu Akira | 21% | 14% | 55% | 10% | -12.8 | +1.4 | -0.8 | +12.3 |
| East 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 14% | 13% | 57% | 16% | -0.4 | +21.3 | +1.9 | -22.8 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 12% | 25% | 58% | 5% | -30.7 | +33.4 | -5.1 | +2.3 |
| South 2 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,900 from Wakutsu Akira | 1% | 56% | 41% | 2% | -4.9 | +8.8 | -4.0 | +0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 67% | 31% | 2% | +4.5 | -0.7 | -0.9 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 18,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 0% | 70% | 28% | 2% | -27.9 | -24.4 | +46.0 | +6.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 10% | 90% | 1% | -0.1 | -13.4 | +2.4 | +11.1 |
| South 4 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 1% | +12.0 | -1.0 | -1.7 | -9.3 |