Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/7 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +33.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -6.8 | -5.0 | +15.5 | -3.8 |
| East 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 20% | 22% | 35% | 23% | +0.3 | +20.7 | -2.0 | -19.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 20% | 35% | 32% | 13% | -0.1 | -4.5 | +4.6 | 0.0 |
| East 3 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 19% | 30% | 37% | 14% | +8.9 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -7.9 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 24% | 30% | 36% | 10% | -3.3 | +0.9 | +17.2 | -14.8 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 18% | 26% | 52% | 4% | -24.8 | +3.1 | +4.3 | +17.5 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 5% | 29% | 60% | 7% | +8.4 | -48.2 | +33.9 | +5.9 |
| South 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +0.8 | +10.8 | -2.7 | -8.9 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -14.2 | -13.9 | -3.6 | +31.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | +4.7 | -21.9 | -5.4 | +22.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 83% | 17% | +1.5 | -1.3 | -2.0 | +1.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 80% | 20% | -2.0 | +2.1 | -1.8 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 0% | 0% | 77% | 22% | +0.1 | -7.5 | -19.2 | +26.5 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 32% | 68% | -0.6 | -0.8 | +31.0 | -29.6 |