Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/8 Game 1
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+66.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +30.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -9.1 | -0.6 | +11.0 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 24% | 33% | 23% | -3.2 | -4.7 | +9.8 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 17% | 20% | 41% | 23% | +0.8 | +39.1 | -6.9 | -33.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 51% | 29% | 6% | +3.4 | -1.4 | -2.9 | +0.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 16% | 51% | 26% | 7% | +30.1 | -0.8 | -23.3 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Murakami Jun ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 38% | 47% | 11% | 4% | +16.3 | -6.2 | +1.0 | -11.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 56% | 33% | 10% | 1% | -7.6 | +21.2 | -2.5 | -11.0 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,100 | 38% | 56% | 6% | 0% | -0.3 | -0.2 | +1.4 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 36% | 58% | 5% | 0% | +6.2 | -0.6 | -5.7 | +0.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 42% | 57% | 1% | 0% | +27.4 | -22.2 | +0.3 | -5.5 |