Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/8 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+66.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +31.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -6.9 | -1.1 | +8.6 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 25% | 30% | 25% | -1.8 | -6.0 | +8.8 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 19% | 20% | 37% | 24% | -1.1 | +40.3 | -4.0 | -35.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 51% | 29% | 7% | +3.9 | -2.7 | -4.2 | +3.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 17% | 48% | 27% | 7% | +31.1 | -0.6 | -23.1 | -7.4 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 40% | 46% | 11% | 3% | +15.6 | -4.5 | +0.5 | -11.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 56% | 34% | 9% | 1% | -8.4 | +20.3 | -0.8 | -11.1 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,100 | 37% | 56% | 6% | 1% | +0.8 | -1.0 | +0.5 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 57% | 6% | 0% | +6.4 | +0.6 | -5.7 | -1.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki | 43% | 56% | 0% | 0% | +26.4 | -22.1 | +0.5 | -4.9 |