Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/8 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+54.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 23% | 26% | 26% | 25% | -1.3 | +1.0 | +17.4 | -17.1 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 21% | 26% | 37% | 15% | +1.9 | +13.2 | -15.1 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,500 | 24% | 35% | 26% | 16% | -3.8 | +7.1 | -2.9 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 20% | 41% | 24% | 15% | +0.8 | -4.1 | -2.3 | +5.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 21% | 37% | 23% | 19% | +0.1 | -16.5 | -3.0 | +19.4 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 23% | 26% | 20% | 32% | -12.7 | +0.3 | +1.3 | +11.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 24% | 22% | 40% | +25.7 | -7.4 | -6.3 | -12.0 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 31% | 21% | 18% | 30% | -9.7 | -5.9 | +18.0 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 17% | 30% | 29% | -8.0 | -15.9 | +32.5 | -8.6 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,100 | 12% | 5% | 66% | 18% | +6.5 | -7.8 | +3.4 | -2.1 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 16,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 9% | 1% | 76% | 14% | -49.5 | +49.4 | +11.0 | -11.0 |