Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/8 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+54.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +33.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -1.7 | -1.7 | +17.9 | -14.6 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 22% | 24% | 37% | 17% | -0.2 | +12.1 | -10.9 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 32% | 29% | 16% | -0.8 | +7.8 | -6.3 | -0.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 39% | 23% | 17% | -3.2 | -0.9 | -1.3 | +5.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 20% | 39% | 23% | 18% | +2.0 | -17.2 | -3.9 | +19.1 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 21% | 25% | 21% | 33% | -10.9 | -0.6 | +0.1 | +11.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 24% | 20% | 41% | +25.4 | -8.0 | -4.5 | -13.0 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 33% | 19% | 18% | 30% | -11.8 | -3.2 | +17.7 | -2.8 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 18% | 30% | 29% | -7.2 | -16.9 | +33.2 | -9.1 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 1,100 | 12% | 5% | 67% | 16% | +7.7 | -8.4 | +2.4 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 16,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 10% | 1% | 76% | 13% | -50.5 | +49.8 | +11.3 | -10.6 |