Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/11 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+49.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +55.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -3.9 | +32.9 | -29.9 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 19% | 50% | 9% | 22% | +28.5 | -24.2 | -2.9 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 43% | 27% | 8% | 22% | +14.6 | -3.9 | -7.6 | -3.1 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka | 57% | 21% | 4% | 17% | -2.2 | -1.2 | -6.4 | +9.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 54% | 20% | 3% | 23% | -2.3 | -2.5 | +1.9 | +3.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 51% | 19% | 3% | 27% | -24.4 | +1.8 | +22.8 | -0.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 31% | 25% | 13% | 31% | +2.8 | +4.7 | -3.6 | -3.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 35% | 29% | 11% | 26% | +6.4 | +0.4 | -3.3 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 28% | 9% | 25% | -15.5 | -10.3 | +30.4 | -4.6 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -2.3 | -13.9 | -6.1 | +22.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 24% | 14% | 20% | 42% | -3.4 | -3.4 | +10.1 | -3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka | 23% | 13% | 26% | 37% | -4.2 | +3.8 | -5.3 | +5.7 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 21% | 14% | 22% | 43% | +55.3 | -22.4 | -16.1 | -16.9 |