Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/12 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+73.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Kondo Seiichi ron 24,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +48.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 27% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -3.6 | -21.4 | -3.6 | +28.6 |
| East 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 13% | 21% | 45% | -11.4 | +30.3 | -7.4 | -11.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 16% | 30% | 18% | 36% | +0.3 | +15.7 | -12.9 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 24,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 15% | 43% | 12% | 31% | -2.2 | +48.7 | -41.6 | -4.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 4% | 83% | 1% | 12% | -1.1 | +2.8 | +0.6 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 86% | 1% | 10% | -7.2 | +24.2 | -8.4 | -8.6 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 97% | 0% | 2% | +3.6 | +0.4 | -3.7 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | +1.2 | 0.0 | +4.3 | -5.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | -3.7 | -0.6 | -6.1 | +10.4 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -4.1 | -3.0 | -2.7 | +9.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 96% | 0% | 3% | -0.9 | +6.5 | -0.6 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +3.3 | -0.6 | -0.5 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +8.2 | -1.2 | -2.6 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +1.4 | +0.3 | -0.3 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -3.6 | -14.4 | +16.5 | +1.5 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | +17.7 | -4.5 | -3.8 | -9.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 98% | 0% | 1% | -0.7 | -0.7 | +2.8 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -25.4 | +0.3 | +18.3 | +6.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -24.5 | -10.1 | +56.2 | -21.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 95% | 3% | 2% | +5.6 | +2.1 | -0.3 | -7.4 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -9.4 | -1.3 | +10.7 | 0.0 |