Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/12 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+73.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Seiichi Kondo ron 24,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +49.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -1.2 | -19.4 | -3.0 | +23.6 |
| East 2 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 14% | 21% | 45% | -10.2 | +30.8 | -7.9 | -12.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 17% | 31% | 17% | 35% | -0.4 | +13.4 | -12.6 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 24,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 15% | 41% | 12% | 32% | -1.0 | +49.1 | -42.4 | -5.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 84% | 1% | 12% | -1.0 | +1.9 | +0.4 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 85% | 0% | 10% | -7.6 | +26.3 | -7.5 | -11.2 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 1% | 98% | 0% | 2% | +2.9 | -0.4 | -3.6 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | +2.3 | -0.1 | +4.6 | -6.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | -4.2 | -0.3 | -7.0 | +11.5 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -3.5 | -3.1 | -2.2 | +8.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 96% | 0% | 3% | -0.8 | +6.8 | -0.8 | -5.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +3.3 | -1.1 | -0.7 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 3,900 | 1% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +7.2 | -1.3 | -2.5 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +1.8 | +0.8 | -0.6 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 1% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -3.3 | -14.1 | +16.7 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 98% | 0% | 1% | +17.3 | -5.4 | -3.5 | -8.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -0.5 | -0.3 | +2.1 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | -26.2 | 0.0 | +18.3 | +8.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -24.1 | -10.3 | +57.1 | -22.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 94% | 4% | 2% | +4.9 | +2.5 | -0.6 | -6.7 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -8.9 | -1.2 | +10.7 | -0.6 |