Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/12 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +37.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -3.2 | -10.8 | +13.3 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 22% | 19% | 33% | 26% | -2.0 | +4.9 | -3.5 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 20% | 22% | 32% | 26% | +2.4 | +10.8 | -11.8 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 29% | 23% | 25% | +14.8 | -10.4 | -1.4 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 34% | 20% | 23% | 23% | -2.0 | +10.8 | -4.1 | -4.8 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 32% | 28% | 19% | 21% | -1.6 | -0.7 | +11.0 | -8.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 31% | 28% | 27% | 15% | -3.7 | -3.9 | +6.0 | +1.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 28% | 25% | 30% | 17% | -0.1 | -4.4 | -31.3 | +35.8 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 27% | 18% | 12% | 43% | -1.9 | -31.3 | -3.9 | +37.1 |
| South 4 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 5% | 1% | 1% | 94% | +6.3 | +11.1 | -18.7 | +1.3 |