Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/12 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +36.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -0.6 | -8.9 | +8.9 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,500 | 24% | 18% | 31% | 26% | -2.4 | +4.7 | -0.6 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 23% | 22% | 30% | 25% | -0.9 | +10.1 | -9.1 | -0.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 28% | 25% | 26% | +15.1 | -8.9 | -2.8 | -3.5 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 33% | 21% | 24% | 23% | +0.4 | +9.8 | -6.9 | -3.3 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 33% | 28% | 17% | 21% | -3.3 | -0.4 | +12.4 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 28% | 27% | 15% | -3.6 | -5.4 | +7.2 | +1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 28% | 25% | 31% | 16% | +0.1 | -1.4 | -34.4 | +35.7 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 21% | 11% | 43% | -1.0 | -34.2 | -1.3 | +36.5 |
| South 4 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 4% | 1% | 1% | 94% | +5.5 | +11.9 | -18.8 | +1.3 |