Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/14 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+96.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +34.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +30.3 | +1.3 | -28.9 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 3,900 | 47% | 23% | 9% | 21% | +13.8 | -9.0 | -0.9 | -3.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 1,300 from Katsumata Kenji | 62% | 15% | 7% | 16% | -1.6 | -3.0 | +3.5 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,400 from Asakura Koshin | 61% | 14% | 9% | 16% | -5.3 | +6.7 | -1.9 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 56% | 18% | 8% | 19% | -3.3 | +3.5 | -2.2 | +1.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Murakami Jun | 52% | 20% | 9% | 19% | -1.3 | +18.8 | 0.0 | -17.5 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 33% | 8% | 10% | -3.5 | -15.1 | -5.7 | +24.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 47% | 21% | 7% | 25% | +5.0 | -1.2 | -6.6 | +2.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 19% | 4% | 24% | -8.4 | +27.6 | -4.9 | -14.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 41% | 43% | 2% | 14% | +4.0 | +1.0 | +2.9 | -7.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 4,000 | 45% | 44% | 3% | 9% | -7.2 | -1.2 | -3.7 | +12.0 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Murakami Jun | 38% | 44% | 2% | 16% | -1.4 | +15.7 | +1.3 | -15.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000 | 30% | 62% | 2% | 6% | -19.3 | +34.2 | -6.5 | -8.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 97% | 0% | 1% | -4.0 | +13.3 | -4.2 | -5.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +0.8 | -4.6 | +3.9 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -0.9 | -1.1 | +5.1 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 1,500 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -0.4 | +0.4 | +3.6 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +5.2 | -0.2 | -3.6 | -1.4 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +1.5 | +9.5 | -16.6 | +5.6 |