Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/14 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +33.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 28% | 24% | 25% | -2.8 | -0.4 | +1.2 | +2.1 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 23% | 26% | 25% | 26% | +0.6 | +33.0 | -30.1 | -3.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 19% | 53% | 9% | 20% | -8.6 | +1.5 | +8.5 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 55% | 11% | 20% | -6.7 | +1.0 | +3.6 | +2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,100 | 11% | 57% | 12% | 20% | +10.3 | -0.6 | -9.3 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 15% | 57% | 8% | 21% | +21.1 | +0.4 | -16.0 | -5.5 |
| South 1 | Draw | 27% | 56% | 4% | 14% | -5.4 | +8.2 | +0.4 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 68% | 3% | 10% | -3.8 | +6.7 | -1.4 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 13% | 77% | 2% | 9% | +0.6 | -11.6 | -1.8 | +12.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 16% | 65% | 2% | 16% | -1.0 | -1.9 | +4.1 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 3,200 from Sonoda Ken | 16% | 63% | 3% | 17% | -4.5 | -3.5 | -7.4 | +15.3 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 62% | 0% | 24% | -13.0 | +22.6 | -1.3 | -8.3 |