Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/14 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +34.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -3.7 | +1.5 | +0.6 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 22% | 27% | 26% | 25% | +0.9 | +34.2 | -30.2 | -5.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 19% | 53% | 8% | 20% | -8.3 | -1.0 | +8.3 | +1.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 55% | 12% | 20% | -5.2 | +3.0 | +1.9 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 1,100 | 12% | 57% | 12% | 19% | +9.6 | -0.5 | -7.4 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 16% | 57% | 8% | 19% | +21.3 | 0.0 | -17.3 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 56% | 3% | 13% | -7.0 | +6.9 | +2.4 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 67% | 3% | 11% | -2.9 | +7.2 | -2.4 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 13% | 76% | 3% | 9% | -0.2 | -11.4 | -2.6 | +14.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 64% | 3% | 17% | -1.0 | -0.8 | +4.2 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 3,200 from Ken Sonoda | 15% | 65% | 3% | 17% | -2.9 | -3.4 | -7.1 | +13.4 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 65% | 0% | 20% | -14.1 | +21.4 | -1.3 | -6.1 |