Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/15 Game 1
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+68.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Masato Hagiwara tsumo 18,000, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +43.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | +43.8 | -13.3 | -14.7 | -15.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 61% | 12% | 13% | 13% | +25.1 | -25.9 | +0.2 | +0.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 82% | 3% | 7% | 8% | -14.7 | -7.5 | +29.5 | -7.4 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 3,000 | 68% | 2% | 22% | 8% | -1.2 | +6.7 | -1.2 | -4.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 67% | 4% | 23% | 6% | -3.4 | -10.7 | +16.1 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 61% | 1% | 33% | 5% | +0.3 | -2.0 | -5.1 | +6.8 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 64% | 1% | 28% | 7% | +0.1 | +14.5 | -3.4 | -11.3 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 68% | 3% | 26% | 3% | -14.5 | -3.1 | +20.6 | -2.9 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,700 | 44% | 2% | 52% | 2% | -0.3 | -7.0 | +1.1 | +6.2 |
| South 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 1,500 | 43% | 0% | 54% | 3% | -3.4 | -0.4 | +4.4 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 0% | 61% | 3% | +29.3 | -3.8 | -25.1 | -0.4 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 1,500 | 86% | 0% | 12% | 2% | +7.3 | -2.5 | -3.7 | -1.1 |