Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/15 Game 1
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+68.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +43.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 23% | +43.2 | -17.3 | -14.1 | -11.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 60% | 13% | 14% | 13% | +24.6 | -25.0 | -0.6 | +1.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 81% | 3% | 7% | 9% | -11.6 | -7.8 | +26.3 | -6.9 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 3,000 | 70% | 3% | 20% | 7% | -2.2 | +5.5 | +1.0 | -4.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 69% | 3% | 21% | 7% | -7.4 | -9.4 | +18.8 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 57% | 1% | 36% | 6% | +2.6 | -1.9 | -9.0 | +8.2 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 64% | 1% | 28% | 8% | +1.3 | +15.7 | -3.0 | -14.0 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 69% | 3% | 25% | 3% | -16.3 | -4.1 | +22.1 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,700 | 43% | 2% | 52% | 3% | +1.9 | -7.7 | -0.5 | +6.3 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 1,500 | 46% | 0% | 51% | 3% | -5.5 | 0.0 | +7.1 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 0% | 63% | 2% | +30.9 | -3.7 | -26.1 | -1.1 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,500 | 87% | 0% | 11% | 1% | +6.7 | -2.7 | -4.1 | +0.1 |