Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/15 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +46.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -4.1 | -2.6 | +7.7 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 25% | 30% | 24% | -2.1 | -4.7 | +8.1 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 19% | 20% | 38% | 23% | +0.5 | -1.3 | -9.6 | +10.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 22% | 19% | 28% | 32% | -3.9 | -3.9 | +5.9 | +2.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 18% | 33% | 32% | -8.8 | +28.5 | -6.4 | -13.3 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 38% | 28% | 21% | +24.4 | -8.3 | -10.9 | -5.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 29% | 31% | 20% | 20% | -13.7 | -3.5 | -3.7 | +20.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 17% | 28% | 19% | 35% | -2.2 | +3.6 | +3.9 | -5.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 16% | 31% | 21% | 31% | -7.8 | -1.6 | +11.9 | -2.5 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 15% | 28% | 28% | 29% | -15.2 | +2.4 | -4.2 | +17.0 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 7% | 28% | 22% | 43% | -17.5 | +46.5 | -15.5 | -13.5 |