Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/15 Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +45.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -3.4 | -1.0 | +6.6 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 24% | 29% | 25% | +0.8 | -4.7 | +5.8 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 23% | 20% | 34% | 23% | -1.6 | +0.1 | -6.2 | +7.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 20% | 30% | 28% | -2.8 | -7.7 | +3.1 | +7.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 16% | 30% | 34% | -11.0 | +29.3 | -2.6 | -15.8 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 37% | 29% | 21% | +23.0 | -5.9 | -10.4 | -6.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 28% | 32% | 22% | 18% | -9.7 | -4.3 | -7.0 | +21.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 28% | 19% | 32% | -3.0 | +2.9 | +4.8 | -4.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 18% | 30% | 22% | 29% | -10.6 | -0.7 | +11.1 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 14% | 30% | 27% | 30% | -13.8 | +3.3 | -4.5 | +15.1 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 7% | 29% | 21% | 42% | -17.8 | +45.2 | -14.8 | -12.7 |