Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

1/18 Game 1

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+60.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +29.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shiratori Sho● Maehara Yudai● Sawazaki Makoto● Kurosawa Saki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shiratori● Maehara● Sawazaki● Kurosawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMaehara Yudai
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Sawazaki Makoto
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Maehara Yudai
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Sawazaki Makoto
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
East 1Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki25%26%24%25%-2.8+20.4+2.3-19.9
East 2Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai22%40%24%14%-28.6-3.4+31.0+1.0
East 3Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho8%33%47%12%-1.0-8.9+7.1+2.8
East 3, 1 honbaKurosawa Saki tsumo 4,0007%25%56%13%-4.4+0.6-4.7+8.6
East 4Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto5%26%52%16%-2.5+29.6-23.1-4.0
South 1Maehara Yudai ron 2,900 from Sawazaki Makoto5%58%26%11%+6.0-0.7-6.8+1.5
South 1, 1 honbaMaehara Yudai ron 7,700 from Sawazaki Makoto6%58%22%14%+26.0+0.8-22.4-4.4
South 1, 2 honbaMaehara Yudai ron 7,700 from Kurosawa Saki17%61%11%11%+25.2-3.0-1.4-20.9
South 1, 3 honbaShiratori Sho tsumo 5,20032%54%9%5%-11.8+20.0-5.7-2.4
South 2Draw13%80%4%3%-1.2-0.1+4.9-3.6
South 3, 1 honbaDraw9%84%5%2%+2.2-4.4+4.4-2.2
South 3, 2 honbaMaehara Yudai ron 1,000 from Sawazaki Makoto14%76%8%2%+9.7+3.0-10.2-2.4
South 4Draw15%83%0%1%-1.6+6.4+2.1-6.9

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)