Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/18 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+60.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +29.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -3.5 | +20.0 | +2.9 | -19.4 |
| East 2 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 22% | 39% | 26% | 13% | -26.6 | -3.4 | +29.5 | +0.5 |
| East 3 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori | 8% | 32% | 48% | 12% | -3.5 | -5.7 | +8.5 | +0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 27% | 57% | 11% | -2.0 | -2.6 | -5.7 | +10.2 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 6% | 25% | 53% | 17% | -3.8 | +29.3 | -22.0 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 5% | 56% | 26% | 12% | +5.9 | +1.8 | -8.6 | +0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 7,700 from Makoto Sawazaki | 6% | 59% | 21% | 14% | +25.7 | +0.4 | -22.4 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 7,700 from Saki Kurosawa | 16% | 62% | 10% | 12% | +24.6 | -1.8 | -2.8 | -20.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 57% | 8% | 5% | -10.9 | +17.4 | -3.4 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 80% | 4% | 3% | -1.5 | -0.7 | +6.4 | -4.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 82% | 6% | 2% | +1.4 | -3.8 | +3.3 | -0.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 1,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 13% | 77% | 7% | 3% | +10.1 | +3.4 | -9.9 | -3.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 84% | 0% | 2% | -0.8 | +6.2 | +1.5 | -6.8 |