Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/18 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +54.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -14.5 | +20.8 | -5.2 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 42% | 20% | 24% | +18.0 | -10.5 | -1.9 | -5.6 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 26% | 32% | 22% | 21% | +1.4 | +3.7 | -3.8 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 37% | 17% | 20% | -0.9 | +17.2 | -4.3 | -12.0 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 24% | 53% | 13% | 10% | -1.7 | -28.8 | -1.1 | +31.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 27% | 16% | 33% | -3.3 | +4.3 | +3.2 | -4.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 30% | 18% | 30% | -18.4 | +54.5 | -16.9 | -19.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 89% | 3% | 6% | -2.8 | -1.5 | +0.1 | +4.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 1% | 90% | 3% | 6% | -0.8 | -2.2 | -27.6 | +30.5 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 84% | 0% | 16% | +8.8 | +4.9 | -2.5 | -11.2 |