Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/18 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +54.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -15.0 | +24.0 | -3.7 | -5.3 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 41% | 22% | 21% | +16.4 | -8.0 | -4.1 | -4.2 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 26% | 36% | 20% | 19% | +4.2 | +1.1 | -2.8 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 28% | 38% | 17% | 17% | -5.1 | +17.8 | -3.4 | -9.4 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 21% | 55% | 14% | 11% | -0.6 | -27.9 | -2.4 | +30.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 23% | 29% | 15% | 33% | -4.5 | +2.8 | +6.3 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 30% | 19% | 29% | -16.7 | +54.3 | -18.3 | -19.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 2% | 88% | 4% | 6% | -3.3 | -2.1 | -0.1 | +5.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 1% | 89% | 4% | 6% | -0.1 | -1.1 | -28.8 | +30.0 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 85% | 0% | 15% | +8.2 | +4.5 | -2.1 | -10.6 |