Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/19 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+51.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +83.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -11.3 | +2.4 | +7.1 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 19% | 26% | 29% | 26% | +0.6 | -6.0 | +0.3 | +5.1 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,900 | 20% | 20% | 30% | 30% | -4.9 | -6.0 | +14.7 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 16% | 17% | 40% | 26% | +0.3 | -0.3 | -11.8 | +11.8 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 16% | 18% | 30% | 36% | +24.9 | -0.7 | +1.7 | -25.9 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 33% | 17% | 33% | 17% | -15.0 | +14.2 | +1.3 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 21% | 27% | 34% | 18% | +1.5 | +1.5 | +5.7 | -8.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 22% | 25% | 39% | 13% | +1.3 | +2.0 | -23.6 | +20.4 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 24% | 29% | 22% | 26% | -2.5 | +0.4 | -26.8 | +28.9 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 24% | 6% | 52% | -35.4 | -3.2 | +83.7 | -45.1 |