Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/19 Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+51.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +82.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -8.3 | +1.6 | +6.5 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 19% | 25% | 30% | 26% | -2.2 | -2.7 | +1.0 | +3.9 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 3,900 | 18% | 22% | 30% | 30% | -1.6 | -6.2 | +12.5 | -4.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 17% | 18% | 40% | 25% | +0.1 | -3.0 | -9.3 | +12.1 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 16% | 17% | 31% | 35% | +23.9 | +0.2 | +2.0 | -26.2 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 34% | 18% | 33% | 15% | -14.1 | +12.4 | +0.8 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 24% | 35% | 18% | -0.8 | +4.8 | +4.3 | -8.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 21% | 28% | 38% | 14% | +2.4 | 0.0 | -23.0 | +20.7 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 24% | 28% | 21% | 26% | -4.0 | 0.0 | -26.0 | +30.0 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 23% | 6% | 54% | -34.0 | -2.4 | +82.9 | -46.5 |