Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/19 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Ken Sonoda ron 7,700 from Seiichi Kondo, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +27.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +0.6 | +4.3 | -3.5 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 29% | 23% | 23% | -11.9 | -6.4 | +22.7 | -4.5 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura ron 7,700 from Aki Nikaido | 17% | 23% | 39% | 21% | -0.9 | +20.3 | +0.5 | -19.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 37% | 37% | 10% | -2.0 | -3.8 | +0.4 | +5.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 34% | 39% | 13% | +1.2 | -7.6 | +1.1 | +5.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 7,700 from Seiichi Kondo | 16% | 27% | 42% | 15% | -21.8 | -1.8 | +27.2 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 5% | 20% | 66% | 9% | +5.4 | +0.5 | -6.7 | +0.9 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 4,000 | 7% | 22% | 61% | 11% | -1.2 | +14.7 | -1.0 | -12.4 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo ron 7,700 from Aki Nikaido | 6% | 31% | 58% | 5% | +20.2 | -0.5 | -2.2 | -17.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 11% | 31% | 55% | 2% | -1.5 | -23.5 | +24.7 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 3% | 8% | 88% | 1% | +2.8 | -10.5 | +7.8 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -7.4 | +14.4 | -3.1 | -3.9 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 1% | 99% | 1% | -2.8 | +9.7 | -2.7 | -4.2 |