Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/19 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +24.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +1.6 | +6.3 | -2.1 | -5.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 30% | 23% | 21% | -11.5 | -9.0 | +24.3 | -3.8 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 7,700 from Nikaido Aki | 18% | 23% | 41% | 19% | -2.3 | +20.4 | +0.1 | -18.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 36% | 38% | 10% | +0.3 | -3.2 | -1.2 | +4.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 15% | 34% | 38% | 12% | +0.2 | -9.3 | +3.8 | +5.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 7,700 from Kondo Seiichi | 16% | 27% | 43% | 15% | -21.0 | -1.8 | +23.9 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 6% | 19% | 65% | 11% | +3.5 | +1.9 | -5.9 | +0.5 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 4,000 | 7% | 21% | 60% | 11% | -2.7 | +16.2 | -1.2 | -12.3 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 7,700 from Nikaido Aki | 5% | 33% | 57% | 5% | +22.2 | -2.5 | -0.8 | -18.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 12% | 30% | 56% | 2% | -2.4 | -20.6 | +22.9 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 4% | 9% | 86% | 1% | +2.5 | -12.4 | +8.7 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 0% | 98% | 1% | -6.9 | +13.6 | -3.0 | -3.7 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 1% | 99% | 1% | -2.8 | +10.2 | -2.7 | -4.7 |