Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/21 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+59.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +28.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -2.4 | -29.8 | +31.4 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 9% | 48% | 22% | +8.1 | -4.8 | -2.0 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 25% | 6% | 47% | 22% | +6.4 | -1.8 | -1.6 | -3.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 29% | 7% | 45% | 19% | -0.3 | -1.6 | -38.8 | +40.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 28% | 5% | 14% | 53% | +9.6 | -0.9 | 0.0 | -8.7 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 37% | 5% | 13% | 45% | -0.1 | -1.5 | +7.8 | -6.2 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 39% | 5% | 17% | 39% | +28.3 | -13.8 | -5.4 | -9.1 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,600 from Hinata Aiko | 75% | 0% | 8% | 17% | +0.8 | -0.6 | -6.9 | +6.8 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,500 from Kurosawa Saki | 80% | 0% | 1% | 19% | -0.7 | +0.9 | -2.7 | +2.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 79% | 0% | 1% | 21% | +8.8 | -0.8 | +4.4 | -12.4 |