Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/21 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+59.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +29.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -2.9 | -26.9 | +30.8 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 10% | 49% | 22% | +6.0 | -5.2 | -1.3 | +0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 7% | 47% | 22% | +9.5 | -4.1 | -2.4 | -3.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 30% | 5% | 45% | 20% | -0.5 | +0.9 | -39.6 | +39.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 28% | 6% | 12% | 54% | +9.6 | -2.5 | -0.1 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 38% | 4% | 12% | 47% | 0.0 | -0.8 | +10.2 | -9.3 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 41% | 4% | 19% | 37% | +29.3 | -13.0 | -7.8 | -8.6 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Aiko Hinata | 76% | 0% | 8% | 16% | +0.5 | -0.8 | -6.2 | +6.6 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,500 from Saki Kurosawa | 81% | 0% | 1% | 17% | -1.0 | +0.3 | -2.4 | +3.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 79% | 0% | 1% | 20% | +8.6 | -0.6 | +3.9 | -11.9 |