Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

1/21 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+64.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +26.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Takaharu Ooi● Kazunori Takizawa● Ken Sonoda● Masato Hagiwara0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Takaharu● Kazunori● Ken● Masato
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa25%24%26%26%-25.8+26.7-1.1+0.3
East 2Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara9%45%24%22%-2.1-1.1+25.4-22.3
East 3Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,2008%40%42%10%-1.2+15.5-12.6-1.7
East 4Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,0007%58%27%8%-2.8+13.8-2.4-8.6
South 1Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara3%74%19%4%-2.3-1.3+10.4-6.8
South 2Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara1%72%25%2%+2.0-2.0+9.6-9.6
South 3Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda0%68%31%1%-9.9+11.3-26.8+25.4
South 4Masato Hagiwara ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa0%95%2%3%-11.7-0.9-2.0+14.7
South 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%92%2%6%+1.5+3.7+3.8-9.1

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)