Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/22 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+54.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +36.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 27% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -6.1 | -8.4 | +2.5 | +12.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 18% | 27% | 34% | -3.4 | +6.4 | -2.4 | -0.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 22% | 26% | 33% | +36.3 | -19.2 | -10.1 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 6,400 from Kayamori Sayaka | 46% | 10% | 17% | 27% | -14.6 | +0.1 | -2.3 | +16.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 33% | 11% | 15% | 41% | -2.2 | +8.0 | -3.3 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 32% | 15% | 15% | 38% | +6.4 | +2.1 | -4.6 | -3.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 38% | 15% | 12% | 35% | -1.4 | -4.7 | +23.8 | -17.7 |
| South 2 | Draw | 38% | 15% | 25% | 22% | -2.3 | +6.4 | -1.7 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 19% | 25% | 21% | -6.9 | -19.0 | +36.1 | -10.2 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka | 22% | 4% | 63% | 11% | -8.8 | -4.9 | +5.8 | +7.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 10% | 1% | 77% | 13% | +4.7 | -4.9 | +10.5 | -10.3 |