Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/22 Game 2
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+59.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +28.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -24.4 | +22.4 | +1.3 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 40% | 23% | 25% | +12.2 | -5.8 | -3.6 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 37% | 22% | 24% | -2.8 | +2.6 | -4.6 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 40% | 18% | 27% | -7.7 | +28.6 | -6.5 | -14.4 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 2,600 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 8% | 71% | 10% | 12% | -3.7 | +2.3 | -11.0 | +12.5 |
| South 2 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 76% | 6% | 15% | -5.8 | -5.1 | +14.5 | -3.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 74% | 10% | 14% | -1.5 | -2.2 | +7.5 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 70% | 14% | 13% | -4.2 | -3.8 | +6.4 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,600 from Sayaka Okada | 2% | 64% | 19% | 15% | -4.8 | +15.7 | -2.2 | -8.7 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 0% | 89% | 4% | 7% | +25.1 | +5.0 | +4.9 | -35.0 |