Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

1/22 Game 2

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+59.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +28.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Yuumi Uotani● Koshin Asakura● Satoshi Fujisaki● Sayaka Okada0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Yuumi● Koshin● Satoshi● Sayaka
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKoshin Asakura
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Satoshi Fujisaki
1st-place chance
Sayaka Okada
1st-place chance
Koshin Asakura
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Satoshi Fujisaki
Expected pt change
Sayaka Okada
Expected pt change
East 1Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura25%25%25%25%-24.4+22.4+1.3+0.7
East 2Koshin Asakura tsumo 4,00012%40%23%25%+12.2-5.8-3.6-2.8
East 3Exhaustive draw17%37%22%24%-2.8+2.6-4.6+4.8
East 4, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani tsumo 8,00015%40%18%27%-7.7+28.6-6.5-14.4
South 1Sayaka Okada ron 2,600 from Satoshi Fujisaki8%71%10%12%-3.7+2.3-11.0+12.5
South 2Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 5,2003%76%6%15%-5.8-5.1+14.5-3.6
South 3Exhaustive draw2%74%10%14%-1.5-2.2+7.5-3.7
South 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw3%70%14%13%-4.2-3.8+6.4+1.6
South 3, 2 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 1,600 from Sayaka Okada2%64%19%15%-4.8+15.7-2.2-8.7
South 4Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada0%89%4%7%+25.1+5.0+4.9-35.0

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)