Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/25 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+53.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +21.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 2,900 from Aki Nikaido | 25% | 27% | 25% | 23% | +9.9 | -0.7 | -8.1 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 32% | 24% | 19% | 25% | -25.1 | +21.2 | +2.2 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 41% | 20% | 25% | -3.7 | -7.8 | -3.6 | +15.1 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 13% | 33% | 18% | 36% | +0.7 | +12.9 | -4.7 | -8.9 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 13% | 46% | 13% | 28% | -0.9 | +0.7 | -9.2 | +9.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 45% | 9% | 34% | -7.4 | +19.1 | -2.9 | -8.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 67% | 6% | 21% | +9.2 | -1.8 | -3.2 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 10% | 65% | 6% | 19% | -4.7 | +3.9 | +37.1 | -36.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 72% | 19% | 5% | +2.8 | -1.8 | -1.8 | +0.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 73% | 17% | 5% | -1.4 | +5.0 | -6.3 | +2.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 2% | 84% | 6% | 8% | +26.6 | +2.1 | -13.6 | -15.0 |