Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/25 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+53.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +22.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,900 from Nikaido Aki | 25% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +7.5 | +0.1 | -7.9 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 30% | 25% | 20% | 25% | -24.4 | +22.1 | +0.3 | +2.0 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 41% | 21% | 25% | -3.6 | -8.1 | -3.4 | +15.2 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 12% | 33% | 17% | 38% | +0.8 | +13.2 | -2.6 | -11.4 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 12% | 47% | 14% | 27% | +1.0 | +0.1 | -10.3 | +9.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 46% | 10% | 33% | -7.4 | +19.2 | -2.3 | -9.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 7% | 68% | 7% | 19% | +8.0 | -2.2 | -3.9 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 9% | 66% | 5% | 19% | -4.3 | +2.8 | +38.5 | -37.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 5% | 70% | 20% | 5% | +3.7 | 0.0 | -5.0 | +1.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 74% | 15% | 5% | -2.5 | +4.8 | -3.4 | +1.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 2% | 84% | 7% | 6% | +26.8 | +1.3 | -14.7 | -13.4 |