Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/25 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 24,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +68.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +31.8 | -7.9 | -8.9 | -15.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 51% | 17% | 17% | 15% | -14.0 | +13.3 | -1.1 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 7,800 | 38% | 26% | 18% | 18% | -8.3 | +19.7 | -7.3 | -4.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 42% | 14% | 14% | -2.1 | -1.7 | +0.9 | +2.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 24,000 | 28% | 41% | 15% | 16% | -21.1 | -25.3 | +68.1 | -21.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 10% | 15% | 70% | 5% | -23.6 | +0.4 | -0.8 | +24.0 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 4% | 14% | 71% | 12% | -0.6 | +7.1 | -2.8 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 18% | 69% | 9% | +30.4 | -10.9 | -9.2 | -10.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 16% | 17% | 59% | 8% | -1.3 | -24.4 | +24.5 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 3% | 90% | 3% | -3.0 | -11.0 | -0.3 | +14.4 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 0% | 92% | 6% | -5.0 | -4.5 | -1.2 | +10.7 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 1% | 0% | 94% | 6% | -23.1 | +50.4 | -9.2 | -18.1 |