Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/25 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 24,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +68.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +33.8 | -8.9 | -12.1 | -12.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 50% | 18% | 17% | 16% | -16.0 | +12.9 | +1.6 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 7,800 | 36% | 27% | 19% | 18% | -7.2 | +19.8 | -5.5 | -7.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 42% | 16% | 14% | +1.0 | -4.3 | -4.2 | +7.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 24,000 | 30% | 38% | 14% | 18% | -22.8 | -21.9 | +68.2 | -23.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 11% | 16% | 67% | 6% | -23.5 | +0.7 | -0.8 | +23.6 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 5% | 15% | 68% | 13% | -1.4 | +6.2 | -0.4 | -4.3 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 18% | 70% | 8% | +30.5 | -10.5 | -8.3 | -11.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 15% | 15% | 62% | 8% | -1.5 | -25.3 | +23.8 | +3.1 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 3% | 90% | 3% | -2.7 | -10.4 | +0.2 | +12.9 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 0% | 93% | 5% | -4.3 | -5.0 | -2.5 | +11.7 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -23.8 | +50.4 | -8.5 | -18.2 |