Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/26 Game 1
Wakutsu Akira finished 1st (+78.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Wakutsu Akira tsumo 18,000, which moved Wakutsu Akira's expected points by +31.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -19.3 | +33.0 | -6.5 | -7.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 12% | 52% | 19% | 17% | -2.4 | +1.7 | +4.4 | -3.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 53% | 20% | 16% | -0.6 | +5.2 | -3.5 | -1.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 10% | 58% | 17% | 16% | -2.0 | +4.2 | -5.5 | +3.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 62% | 15% | 15% | -8.1 | -15.3 | -5.5 | +29.0 |
| East 3 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 44% | 12% | 36% | -6.6 | -7.4 | -15.3 | +29.4 |
| East 4 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 18,000 | 3% | 28% | 4% | 65% | -6.5 | -16.6 | -8.5 | +31.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 5% | 1% | 93% | +5.2 | +1.0 | -2.9 | -3.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 1% | 5% | 1% | 93% | +5.6 | -2.7 | -2.1 | -0.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,600 from Mizuhara Akina | 1% | 5% | 1% | 94% | -0.9 | +4.3 | -4.8 | +1.4 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 4% | 1% | 95% | -0.3 | -7.8 | +6.0 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -3.2 | -1.3 | +5.6 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +1.3 | -5.2 | +3.1 | +0.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -15.8 | -1.1 | +17.0 | -0.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -3.1 | +9.4 | -6.0 | -0.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.4 | +1.6 | -0.9 | -1.1 |