Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/26 Game 1
Akira Wakutsu finished 1st (+78.8pt). The game was decided in East 3: Akira Wakutsu tsumo 12,000, which moved Akira Wakutsu's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -18.3 | +33.8 | -7.5 | -8.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 50% | 19% | 20% | -1.5 | +1.6 | +2.2 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 52% | 19% | 18% | -1.5 | +6.4 | -1.7 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 58% | 18% | 15% | -2.9 | +3.6 | -3.7 | +3.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 61% | 15% | 15% | -5.3 | -13.4 | -7.6 | +26.3 |
| East 3 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 47% | 13% | 34% | -7.2 | -11.2 | -14.5 | +32.9 |
| East 4 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 18,000 | 3% | 26% | 4% | 67% | -7.0 | -14.1 | -8.2 | +29.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 5% | 1% | 93% | +5.8 | +0.4 | -3.7 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 5% | 1% | 94% | +4.3 | -1.5 | -2.1 | -0.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,600 from Akina Mizuhara | 1% | 5% | 1% | 93% | -0.6 | +5.3 | -5.8 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 0% | 5% | 0% | 95% | -0.8 | -8.8 | +7.5 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -2.3 | -1.8 | +5.1 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +0.4 | -4.6 | +2.7 | +1.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -15.0 | -2.1 | +17.6 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -2.8 | +9.9 | -6.7 | -0.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.1 | +1.5 | -0.5 | -1.0 |