Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

1/26 Game 2

Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +27.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Suzuki Taro● Hagiwara Masato● Kobayashi Go● Kayamori Sayaka0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Suzuki● Hagiwara● Kobayashi● Kayamori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Kayamori Sayaka
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Kayamori Sayaka
Expected pt change
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
East 1Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato26%26%25%23%-23.9+21.8+1.7+0.5
East 2Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go12%41%25%23%-1.6-13.70.0+15.3
East 3Draw11%29%25%35%+8.9-1.9-6.6-0.4
East 4, 1 honbaKobayashi Go tsumo 1,50016%28%20%37%-0.8+5.2+0.6-4.9
South 1Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato15%33%21%31%-20.6+1.1-0.2+19.7
South 2Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,0004%29%17%51%-5.0-16.3-6.5+27.8
South 3Kayamori Sayaka ron 4,800 from Kobayashi Go1%5%8%87%-0.8-14.5+15.7-0.4
South 3, 1 honbaKobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro0%2%12%86%-2.9+5.2-3.4+1.1
South 4Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato0%2%4%94%-15.2+28.0-14.3+1.5

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)