Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/26 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +29.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -22.8 | +20.5 | +0.8 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 11% | 40% | 25% | 25% | +1.1 | -13.4 | -1.7 | +14.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 28% | 24% | 36% | +6.7 | -0.5 | -4.3 | -1.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 1,500 | 16% | 29% | 21% | 34% | -2.6 | +5.1 | -1.4 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 14% | 32% | 20% | 34% | -17.9 | +1.4 | +0.1 | +16.5 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 30% | 17% | 49% | -6.3 | -16.2 | -6.7 | +29.2 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 4,800 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 5% | 7% | 88% | +0.5 | -16.2 | +16.4 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 2% | 12% | 86% | -4.2 | +5.6 | -2.8 | +1.4 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 2% | 3% | 95% | -14.8 | +28.6 | -14.7 | +0.9 |