Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/28 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+54.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +37.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 7,800 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +18.5 | -8.2 | -5.6 | -4.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 40% | 18% | 21% | 20% | +4.0 | -1.0 | -2.1 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 42% | 19% | 20% | 19% | -16.0 | +19.2 | -1.9 | -1.3 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 7,800 | 30% | 31% | 19% | 20% | -6.1 | +22.6 | -5.6 | -10.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 16,000 | 23% | 50% | 14% | 13% | -9.4 | -23.9 | -9.0 | +42.2 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 19% | 29% | 12% | 41% | +24.2 | +3.9 | -5.4 | -22.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 36% | 32% | 8% | 23% | +12.1 | -3.0 | -1.9 | -7.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 28% | 7% | 17% | -17.0 | +28.7 | -6.9 | -4.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 25% | 59% | 5% | 11% | -0.8 | -0.9 | +5.0 | -3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 62% | 6% | 10% | -11.6 | -10.1 | +37.6 | -15.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 7,700 from Nikaido Aki | 19% | 51% | 22% | 7% | -27.5 | -5.9 | +31.3 | +2.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 4% | 36% | 54% | 6% | -0.4 | +13.0 | -10.2 | -2.5 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 1% | 57% | 37% | 6% | +5.4 | -20.7 | +28.9 | -13.6 |