Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/28 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+71.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +36.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 9,600 from Asakura Koshin | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +24.0 | -1.6 | -24.1 | +1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 42% | 22% | 11% | 25% | -11.0 | -5.4 | +20.9 | -4.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 34% | 20% | 23% | 23% | -2.0 | +6.1 | -2.2 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 4,000 | 33% | 24% | 22% | 22% | -3.7 | -5.1 | +13.8 | -5.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 28% | 20% | 32% | 19% | -0.6 | +6.0 | -3.6 | -1.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 24% | 28% | 20% | -2.4 | -4.1 | +1.4 | +5.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,100 | 28% | 21% | 30% | 22% | -5.4 | -3.7 | -1.4 | +10.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 24% | 19% | 30% | 28% | -0.8 | -31.4 | -3.8 | +36.0 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Draw | 18% | 4% | 20% | 58% | -2.6 | -1.1 | -3.0 | +6.7 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 15% | 4% | 16% | 65% | +1.0 | +3.4 | -29.5 | +25.1 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Draw | 7% | 2% | 2% | 89% | +2.4 | -4.9 | +4.7 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 7 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 1% | 2% | 90% | -15.4 | -7.6 | +24.2 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,300 from Uotani Yuumi | 1% | 1% | 6% | 92% | -1.3 | -3.8 | +1.9 | +3.1 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,800 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 0% | 4% | 96% | -12.8 | +1.7 | +12.4 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 1,500 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 0% | 7% | 93% | +0.1 | -0.4 | +3.2 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 0% | 10% | 90% | -4.0 | +0.1 | -3.7 | +7.5 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +6.0 | -3.5 | +0.5 | -3.0 |