Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

1/28 Game 2

Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+71.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +36.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Uchikawa Kotaro● Uotani Yuumi● Katsumata Kenji● Asakura Koshin0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Uchikawa● Uotani● Katsumata● Asakura
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultUotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Asakura Koshin
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Asakura Koshin
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
East 1Uotani Yuumi ron 9,600 from Asakura Koshin25%25%26%24%+24.0-1.6-24.1+1.7
East 1, 1 honbaAsakura Koshin tsumo 8,00042%22%11%25%-11.0-5.4+20.9-4.5
East 2Draw34%20%23%23%-2.0+6.1-2.2-1.9
East 2, 1 honbaAsakura Koshin tsumo 4,00033%24%22%22%-3.7-5.1+13.8-5.0
East 3Draw28%20%32%19%-0.6+6.0-3.6-1.7
East 4, 1 honbaDraw28%24%28%20%-2.4-4.1+1.4+5.2
East 4, 2 honbaUchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,10028%21%30%22%-5.4-3.7-1.4+10.5
East 4, 3 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji24%19%30%28%-0.8-31.4-3.8+36.0
East 4, 4 honbaDraw18%4%20%58%-2.6-1.1-3.0+6.7
East 4, 5 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin15%4%16%65%+1.0+3.4-29.5+25.1
East 4, 6 honbaDraw7%2%2%89%+2.4-4.9+4.7-2.1
South 1, 7 honbaAsakura Koshin tsumo 8,0007%1%2%90%-15.4-7.6+24.2-1.2
South 2Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,300 from Uotani Yuumi1%1%6%92%-1.3-3.8+1.9+3.1
South 3Asakura Koshin ron 5,800 from Uotani Yuumi0%0%4%96%-12.8+1.7+12.4-1.3
South 3, 1 honbaAsakura Koshin ron 1,500 from Uchikawa Kotaro0%0%7%93%+0.1-0.4+3.2-3.0
South 3, 2 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi0%0%10%90%-4.0+0.1-3.7+7.5
South 4Uotani Yuumi ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro0%0%0%100%+6.0-3.5+0.5-3.0

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)