Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/28 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+71.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +35.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 9,600 from Koshin Asakura | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +22.6 | -1.1 | -22.5 | +0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 42% | 21% | 12% | 25% | -9.8 | -4.5 | +20.7 | -6.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 20% | 23% | 22% | -3.0 | +6.0 | -2.2 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 4,000 | 33% | 24% | 22% | 22% | -1.9 | -7.8 | +12.4 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 20% | 30% | 20% | -0.5 | +6.9 | -2.1 | -4.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 23% | 28% | 18% | -4.6 | -2.4 | +1.6 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,100 | 28% | 22% | 30% | 21% | -2.7 | -4.6 | -5.2 | +12.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 25% | 19% | 26% | 29% | -3.1 | -31.6 | -0.5 | +35.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 5% | 19% | 60% | +0.3 | -2.4 | -2.2 | +4.4 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura | 17% | 3% | 16% | 63% | -2.0 | +4.9 | -30.0 | +27.1 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 2% | 3% | 89% | +1.9 | -2.8 | +2.9 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 7 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 2% | 3% | 90% | -14.9 | -9.1 | +25.7 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,300 from Yuumi Uotani | 1% | 1% | 7% | 91% | -0.7 | -3.7 | +0.5 | +3.9 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 5,800 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 0% | 4% | 96% | -12.9 | +1.4 | +13.4 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 1,500 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 0% | 8% | 92% | +0.3 | -0.4 | +3.0 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 0% | 10% | 90% | -4.2 | +0.4 | -3.7 | +7.4 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +5.8 | -3.5 | +0.6 | -2.8 |