Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

1/29 Game 1

Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+76.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yudai Maehara ron 18,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +41.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 2South 1End● Yudai Maehara● Naoki Setokuma● Taro Suzuki● Aiko Hinata0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3End● Yudai● Naoki● Taro● Aiko
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYudai Maehara
1st-place chance
Naoki Setokuma
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Aiko Hinata
1st-place chance
Yudai Maehara
Expected pt change
Naoki Setokuma
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
Aiko Hinata
Expected pt change
East 1Yudai Maehara ron 18,000 from Taro Suzuki26%24%24%26%+41.9-0.6-40.3-1.0
East 1, 1 honbaYudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma59%18%5%18%+25.2-27.3+2.0+0.1
East 1, 2 honbaNaoki Setokuma tsumo 8,00082%5%3%11%-9.4+18.5-4.5-4.6
East 2Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki76%10%3%12%-2.6+24.1-18.8-2.6
East 2, 1 honbaTaro Suzuki tsumo 5,20069%21%1%9%-0.1-6.7+7.5-0.6
East 3Exhaustive draw72%17%2%9%-3.0+5.1+1.5-3.6
East 3, 1 honbaYudai Maehara ron 1,600 from Taro Suzuki67%21%3%10%+7.5-0.7-6.4-0.4
East 4Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,00076%16%1%7%-4.8+18.1-2.3-11.0
South 1Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata69%28%1%2%+1.1-2.8+4.9-3.2
South 2Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki74%24%1%2%+6.6-3.6-3.4+0.4
South 3Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,00084%14%0%2%+7.7-2.9-5.4+0.6
South 4Yudai Maehara ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki94%5%0%1%+4.5-2.0-0.6-1.9

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)