Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/29 Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,300 from Takaharu Ooi | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -6.0 | +1.0 | +2.5 | +2.5 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 20% | 26% | 26% | 27% | +1.7 | -13.4 | +13.7 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 15% | 37% | 26% | +13.3 | -1.5 | -5.2 | -6.5 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 31% | 16% | 32% | 21% | -2.9 | -1.7 | +25.7 | -21.1 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,000 | 23% | 10% | 58% | 9% | +20.6 | -2.9 | -8.3 | -9.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 10% | 43% | 5% | -10.3 | -9.6 | -2.1 | +22.0 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 35% | 7% | 44% | 13% | +2.2 | -9.9 | +3.1 | +4.6 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 5,200 | 35% | 2% | 49% | 14% | -1.1 | +11.9 | -2.6 | -8.1 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 5% | 49% | 12% | -11.7 | +4.7 | +32.4 | -25.4 |