Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/29 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +34.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,300 from Ooi Takaharu | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -7.7 | +0.5 | +3.9 | +3.3 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 20% | 26% | 27% | 27% | +1.2 | -15.0 | +16.4 | -2.7 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 15% | 41% | 24% | +13.2 | -0.5 | -9.6 | -3.0 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 31% | 15% | 32% | 23% | -2.6 | +1.2 | +26.4 | -25.0 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 6,000 | 23% | 13% | 57% | 7% | +19.8 | -5.8 | -7.2 | -6.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 41% | 9% | 45% | 5% | -9.7 | -8.6 | -2.7 | +21.0 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 33% | 9% | 45% | 13% | +3.7 | -10.1 | +1.6 | +4.8 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 5,200 | 37% | 2% | 47% | 14% | -0.8 | +11.9 | -3.3 | -7.7 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 5% | 45% | 13% | -12.7 | +4.4 | +34.2 | -25.9 |