Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/1 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +54.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -5.8 | +6.0 | +0.7 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 28% | 25% | 26% | +5.8 | -4.1 | +4.6 | -6.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 23% | 26% | 30% | 21% | -0.5 | +12.3 | -4.2 | -7.5 |
| East 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 24% | 34% | 24% | 18% | +1.3 | +1.1 | +6.8 | -9.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 35% | 29% | 12% | +0.9 | +2.3 | +3.8 | -7.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 36% | 32% | 8% | -11.6 | -6.0 | -1.0 | +18.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 32% | 32% | 18% | -5.2 | -2.9 | +9.6 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 14% | 28% | 40% | 18% | -15.3 | +1.8 | +6.2 | +7.4 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 6% | 25% | 53% | 16% | -8.1 | +0.2 | -1.3 | +9.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 25% | 51% | 21% | -7.1 | -21.1 | -26.1 | +54.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 3% | 4% | 93% | -0.3 | -6.3 | +5.1 | +1.6 |