Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

2/1 Game 1

Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +55.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 3End● Kobayashi Go● Sawazaki Makoto● Hinata Aiko● Maehara Yudai0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Kobayashi● Sawazaki● Hinata● Maehara
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSawazaki Makoto
1st-place chance
Hinata Aiko
1st-place chance
Maehara Yudai
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Sawazaki Makoto
Expected pt change
Hinata Aiko
Expected pt change
Maehara Yudai
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
East 1Draw26%26%25%24%-8.5+4.5+5.2-1.2
East 2, 1 honbaDraw18%29%29%23%+8.6-6.3+0.2-2.5
East 3, 2 honbaHinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go25%24%28%22%-0.8+13.0-3.7-8.5
East 4Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go25%34%24%17%-0.3+2.3+8.8-10.8
South 1Draw23%35%31%11%+2.8+2.2-0.1-4.9
South 1, 1 honbaKobayashi Go tsumo 5,20025%38%29%9%-13.1-4.4-0.4+17.9
South 2Draw17%35%30%18%-3.3-4.7+10.9-3.0
South 3, 1 honbaKobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Sawazaki Makoto15%28%40%17%-17.5+0.7+8.0+8.8
South 4Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Sawazaki Makoto5%24%54%17%-7.4+0.9-2.1+8.6
South 4, 1 honbaKobayashi Go tsumo 12,0003%25%52%20%-6.3-21.4-27.3+55.0
South 4, 2 honbaDraw0%3%3%94%-1.2-6.2+5.9+1.5

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)