Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/1 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+78.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 3 honba: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +43.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -17.7 | +32.7 | -8.5 | -6.5 |
| East 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 52% | 18% | 18% | +13.3 | -8.9 | -3.9 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 20% | 43% | 18% | 19% | -10.3 | +0.5 | +11.3 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 44% | 24% | 18% | +29.3 | -4.3 | -18.9 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 35% | 39% | 12% | 15% | +3.9 | +2.4 | +2.6 | -8.8 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 42% | 13% | 9% | +31.8 | -15.5 | -8.1 | -8.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 72% | 18% | 6% | 5% | +0.4 | -1.1 | +19.3 | -18.6 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 74% | 15% | 10% | 1% | -17.4 | +31.8 | -10.3 | -4.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 45% | 48% | 7% | 1% | +0.2 | -0.7 | -2.2 | +2.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 44% | 49% | 6% | 2% | -1.1 | -2.4 | +12.7 | -9.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 46% | 11% | 0% | -18.5 | -18.4 | +43.3 | -6.4 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 25% | 51% | 0% | -16.7 | -18.0 | +41.0 | -6.3 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 1% | 1% | 98% | 0% | +9.4 | -4.6 | -0.3 | -4.4 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0.0 | -1.2 | -0.5 | +1.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +7.2 | -4.6 | 0.0 | -2.6 |