Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/1 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+78.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 3 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +45.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -17.2 | +32.8 | -8.4 | -7.2 |
| East 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 51% | 18% | 19% | +12.5 | -7.1 | -1.5 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 20% | 44% | 18% | 18% | -8.9 | -0.6 | +9.9 | -0.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 44% | 23% | 18% | +27.3 | -3.0 | -18.5 | -5.8 |
| East 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 33% | 39% | 13% | 14% | +5.9 | +0.4 | +0.8 | -7.1 |
| South 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000 | 38% | 39% | 12% | 10% | +31.6 | -14.2 | -9.4 | -8.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 73% | 17% | 5% | 5% | 0.0 | -1.6 | +20.7 | -19.1 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 75% | 14% | 9% | 2% | -16.9 | +32.4 | -10.9 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 45% | 48% | 6% | 1% | -0.6 | -1.2 | -1.4 | +3.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 45% | 48% | 6% | 2% | -0.2 | -2.7 | +12.4 | -9.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 45% | 45% | 10% | 1% | -19.2 | -20.2 | +45.3 | -5.9 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 22% | 53% | 1% | -17.7 | -15.7 | +40.1 | -6.6 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 1% | 1% | 99% | 0% | +10.3 | -5.1 | -0.4 | -4.8 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -0.2 | -0.6 | -0.6 | +1.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +7.1 | -4.8 | 0.0 | -2.3 |