Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/2 Game 1
Maruyama Kanako finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Maruyama Kanako ron 18,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Maruyama Kanako's expected points by +45.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maruyama Kanako ron 18,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +45.4 | -42.8 | -1.3 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 61% | 4% | 18% | 17% | -4.4 | +4.3 | -1.0 | +1.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 58% | 6% | 17% | 19% | +0.6 | +27.7 | -27.7 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 60% | 15% | 7% | 18% | -2.0 | +3.5 | +1.0 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 57% | 17% | 8% | 18% | +1.1 | -21.6 | -1.1 | +21.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 57% | 6% | 7% | 30% | -6.8 | -3.6 | +5.3 | +5.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 6% | 10% | 36% | +0.2 | +2.2 | +3.2 | -5.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,000 | 50% | 7% | 12% | 31% | -3.7 | -0.8 | +5.2 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 2,700 | 48% | 7% | 13% | 32% | +10.8 | -2.5 | -6.6 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 59% | 5% | 7% | 29% | -1.9 | -6.5 | +20.8 | -12.3 |
| South 1 | Maruyama Kanako ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 59% | 4% | 17% | 20% | +10.8 | -0.1 | -9.4 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Maruyama Kanako | 72% | 4% | 10% | 14% | -5.1 | +4.9 | -0.2 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 70% | 4% | 11% | 15% | +1.1 | -11.3 | +14.7 | -4.6 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 74% | 0% | 14% | 12% | -0.4 | -4.5 | -19.1 | +24.0 |
| South 4 | Draw | 76% | 0% | 2% | 23% | -4.8 | -1.9 | +2.9 | +3.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 68% | 0% | 3% | 29% | +22.9 | -0.4 | -10.8 | -11.7 |