Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/2 Game 1
Kanako Maruyama finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kanako Maruyama ron 18,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Kanako Maruyama's expected points by +44.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kanako Maruyama ron 18,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +44.5 | -41.1 | -2.3 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 60% | 5% | 17% | 18% | -2.3 | +2.6 | +1.8 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 59% | 5% | 19% | 17% | +1.2 | +28.0 | -29.9 | +0.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 61% | 13% | 7% | 19% | -3.9 | +3.1 | +1.8 | -1.1 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 57% | 16% | 9% | 18% | +1.5 | -20.3 | -1.6 | +20.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 57% | 6% | 7% | 30% | -2.9 | -3.6 | +3.1 | +3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 53% | 6% | 7% | 33% | -4.6 | +2.5 | +4.7 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 3,000 | 50% | 7% | 10% | 32% | -1.9 | -2.9 | +7.5 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 2,700 | 49% | 6% | 15% | 31% | +10.7 | -1.9 | -7.5 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 5% | 7% | 27% | -2.5 | -5.0 | +21.8 | -14.3 |
| South 1 | Kanako Maruyama ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 60% | 5% | 17% | 18% | +10.7 | +0.8 | -11.6 | +0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Kanako Maruyama | 73% | 3% | 9% | 15% | -5.9 | +3.6 | +0.4 | +1.9 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 70% | 5% | 11% | 15% | +0.9 | -11.9 | +14.8 | -3.7 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 72% | 0% | 14% | 13% | +0.5 | -3.9 | -19.3 | +22.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 76% | 0% | 2% | 22% | -4.8 | -2.0 | +3.4 | +3.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 68% | 0% | 3% | 28% | +22.7 | -0.5 | -11.1 | -11.1 |