Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/2 Game 2
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +37.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -5.1 | +4.3 | -5.5 | +6.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 27% | 23% | 28% | -10.2 | +35.6 | -13.5 | -11.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,600 from Jun Murakami | 13% | 56% | 13% | 18% | +4.2 | -5.4 | -0.1 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 52% | 13% | 19% | +10.7 | -1.4 | -5.6 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 51% | 11% | 18% | -0.4 | -2.1 | -3.8 | +6.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 1,500 from Jun Murakami | 21% | 49% | 9% | 21% | -1.3 | -5.7 | -1.4 | +8.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 43% | 9% | 28% | -5.5 | -0.7 | +22.3 | -16.1 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 20% | 45% | 19% | 16% | -27.3 | -2.2 | +29.3 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 38% | 42% | 16% | -6.4 | -23.5 | +37.4 | -7.5 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 4% | 91% | 5% | +24.5 | -6.3 | -4.5 | -13.8 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 1% | 1% | 93% | 5% | +21.2 | -8.8 | -0.3 | -12.0 |