Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/2 Game 2
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +36.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -4.0 | +0.6 | -2.5 | +5.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 26% | 22% | 30% | -10.9 | +35.3 | -13.6 | -10.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,600 from Murakami Jun | 12% | 56% | 13% | 19% | +5.3 | -4.5 | -0.4 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 53% | 13% | 18% | +11.6 | -0.1 | -9.1 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 22% | 52% | 8% | 18% | -2.7 | -3.1 | -1.6 | +7.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 1,500 from Murakami Jun | 20% | 49% | 8% | 24% | -0.2 | -6.5 | +0.7 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 42% | 9% | 28% | -6.6 | -2.6 | +24.9 | -15.7 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 18% | 42% | 22% | 17% | -27.0 | +0.4 | +26.7 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 39% | 43% | 15% | -6.2 | -23.3 | +36.2 | -6.8 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 4% | 90% | 6% | +25.2 | -7.0 | -4.2 | -13.9 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 1% | 1% | 92% | 5% | +21.0 | -8.3 | +0.1 | -12.8 |