Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/4 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+63.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +53.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 24% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -2.7 | +21.3 | -16.9 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 40% | 15% | 25% | -2.3 | +8.1 | -3.8 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 8,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 18% | 46% | 13% | 23% | -0.5 | -3.8 | -19.7 | +24.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 41% | 5% | 38% | +0.2 | -2.6 | +4.0 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 17% | 38% | 6% | 39% | +12.5 | +2.1 | -10.9 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 24% | 39% | 3% | 34% | +8.9 | -1.5 | +1.2 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 1,300 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 32% | 39% | 3% | 26% | -2.1 | +6.3 | -4.5 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Ken Sonoda | 28% | 45% | 2% | 25% | -13.2 | +12.7 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 8,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 14% | 61% | 2% | 23% | -6.0 | -5.5 | -9.5 | +21.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 50% | 1% | 41% | -1.9 | -6.3 | -0.1 | +8.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 8% | 38% | 1% | 53% | +17.1 | -2.9 | -11.2 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 34% | 0% | 48% | +53.6 | -10.8 | -1.4 | -41.4 |