Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/4 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+63.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +52.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 26% | 24% | 23% | 27% | -2.8 | +22.8 | -17.8 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 41% | 15% | 23% | -1.8 | +7.3 | -4.2 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 8,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 20% | 48% | 11% | 22% | -2.7 | -5.3 | -17.1 | +25.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 15% | 40% | 6% | 40% | +1.1 | -2.3 | +4.9 | -3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 18% | 38% | 7% | 36% | +15.5 | +0.8 | -13.3 | -3.0 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 26% | 39% | 3% | 32% | +6.2 | +1.1 | -1.3 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 1,300 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 32% | 39% | 3% | 27% | -3.4 | +6.4 | -0.6 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 2,900 from Sonoda Ken | 26% | 47% | 3% | 25% | -12.5 | +11.9 | -0.9 | +1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 8,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 14% | 62% | 2% | 23% | -6.6 | -5.5 | -10.7 | +22.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 8% | 49% | 1% | 42% | -1.5 | -5.3 | +1.1 | +5.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 8% | 41% | 1% | 51% | +18.3 | -5.5 | -11.4 | -1.5 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 33% | 0% | 49% | +52.9 | -9.8 | -1.3 | -41.8 |