Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/4 Game 2
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+50.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +66.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 26% | 27% | 23% | 25% | -2.8 | -0.3 | -4.4 | +7.4 |
| East 2 | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,400 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 22% | 26% | 22% | 30% | +1.0 | +2.9 | +2.5 | -6.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 23% | 28% | 23% | 26% | -12.6 | +0.2 | -2.0 | +14.4 |
| East 3 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 1,100 | 16% | 25% | 22% | 37% | -0.5 | +7.7 | -3.7 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 16% | 33% | 18% | 33% | -2.8 | -26.8 | +31.8 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 15% | 43% | 29% | -24.1 | +43.4 | -11.9 | -7.4 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Seiichi Kondo | 2% | 49% | 28% | 22% | -1.3 | -19.3 | -0.6 | +21.1 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 3% | 27% | 28% | 43% | +20.2 | +5.8 | +8.5 | -34.5 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,800 from Seiichi Kondo | 12% | 33% | 40% | 16% | -1.1 | -30.6 | +4.5 | +27.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 11% | 49% | 30% | -17.5 | +66.5 | -17.1 | -31.9 |