Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/5 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +43.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 7,800 | 23% | 25% | 27% | 25% | +21.5 | -6.3 | -8.7 | -6.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 38% | 22% | 20% | 20% | +8.4 | -3.9 | -2.1 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 18% | 18% | 18% | +28.6 | -8.9 | -11.1 | -8.6 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 72% | 9% | 8% | 11% | -16.2 | +29.5 | -5.5 | -7.7 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 56% | 26% | 9% | 9% | -2.9 | -16.7 | -7.7 | +27.4 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 55% | 16% | 7% | 23% | +0.1 | +4.2 | -4.2 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 55% | 18% | 5% | 22% | +20.3 | -0.1 | +2.1 | -22.3 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 79% | 12% | 3% | 6% | -0.2 | -20.1 | -2.9 | +23.1 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 81% | 5% | 2% | 11% | -32.9 | -5.8 | -0.4 | +39.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 33% | 2% | 4% | 62% | +0.2 | -3.5 | +6.2 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 2% | 6% | 58% | -11.2 | -14.7 | +34.7 | -8.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 1% | 20% | 51% | -18.5 | -5.3 | +46.2 | -22.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 6,400 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 8% | 0% | 74% | 18% | +21.8 | -0.7 | +0.7 | -21.8 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 0% | 76% | 6% | +43.7 | -2.6 | -31.5 | -9.5 |