Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/5 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +29.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -6.6 | +0.3 | +7.0 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 24% | 30% | 25% | +8.3 | -7.1 | -3.8 | +2.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 26% | 18% | 28% | 28% | -1.7 | +0.9 | -24.9 | +25.7 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 18% | 11% | 48% | +29.6 | -7.0 | -8.0 | -14.5 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 13% | 7% | 31% | +28.9 | -7.8 | -7.9 | -13.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 81% | 5% | 3% | 12% | +4.5 | -0.3 | -1.1 | -3.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 85% | 4% | 2% | 8% | -0.5 | +14.0 | -2.6 | -11.0 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 87% | 7% | 2% | 5% | +2.7 | -18.2 | +11.6 | +3.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 93% | 0% | 3% | 5% | +2.6 | +0.6 | -6.4 | +3.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0.0 | +0.7 | -6.1 | +5.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +1.2 | -30.8 | +46.9 | -17.3 |