Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/8 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+74.0pt). The game was decided in East 4: Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +38.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -0.2 | +4.0 | +1.5 | -5.2 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 25% | 27% | 25% | 23% | +4.0 | -2.7 | -3.3 | +1.9 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 28% | 26% | 24% | 23% | +0.8 | +7.0 | -7.7 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 28% | 31% | 18% | 24% | +38.0 | -1.5 | -2.2 | -34.3 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 21% | 11% | 4% | +24.8 | -10.0 | -7.2 | -7.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 3,900 | 89% | 6% | 4% | 1% | +5.7 | -3.1 | -2.1 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 93% | 4% | 2% | 1% | -5.7 | -4.7 | -8.7 | +19.1 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 92% | 4% | 2% | 2% | -3.1 | +7.7 | -2.9 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 88% | 7% | 2% | 3% | +9.3 | -5.0 | -3.0 | -1.3 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 98% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -0.3 | -4.8 | +31.1 | -26.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,700 | 97% | 0% | 3% | 0% | +0.4 | +9.2 | -7.4 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.2 | -12.7 | +17.6 | -4.7 |