Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/8 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +49.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -1.4 | -3.1 | +2.7 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,000 from Asakura Koshin | 22% | 24% | 27% | 27% | +5.4 | -2.1 | -2.2 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 27% | 22% | 25% | 26% | +26.5 | -1.3 | -27.0 | +1.9 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000 | 49% | 18% | 8% | 25% | +0.2 | -3.5 | +14.7 | -11.3 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 51% | 17% | 15% | 17% | -2.2 | +23.4 | -23.2 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 5,200 | 48% | 30% | 6% | 17% | +0.3 | -11.1 | -4.0 | +14.8 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 20% | 5% | 27% | -10.7 | -11.3 | +36.9 | -14.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 18% | 21% | 22% | -19.0 | -14.6 | +49.1 | -15.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 12% | 4% | 75% | 9% | -3.2 | -0.7 | 0.0 | +3.9 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 6% | 4% | 79% | 11% | -2.8 | +4.8 | -5.2 | +3.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 10% | 6% | 70% | 14% | +9.5 | -23.9 | +19.0 | -4.6 |