Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/8 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +49.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -1.1 | -3.9 | -0.6 | +5.6 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,000 from Koshin Asakura | 23% | 23% | 25% | 29% | +3.7 | -1.7 | +1.1 | -3.1 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 21% | 26% | 27% | +27.2 | +0.4 | -27.5 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 50% | 18% | 9% | 23% | -0.9 | -5.8 | +13.7 | -6.9 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 51% | 17% | 14% | 18% | -2.2 | +25.1 | -22.0 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 5,200 | 47% | 31% | 6% | 16% | +1.2 | -12.5 | -6.1 | +17.4 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 19% | 4% | 29% | -11.7 | -10.4 | +38.8 | -16.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 37% | 18% | 22% | 24% | -19.4 | -16.2 | +49.5 | -13.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 4% | 76% | 9% | -2.1 | +0.5 | -0.2 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 3% | 80% | 10% | -4.3 | +4.7 | -3.9 | +3.6 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 8% | 5% | 73% | 14% | +11.1 | -23.7 | +17.4 | -4.8 |