Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/9 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +38.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -9.9 | +3.1 | +9.0 | -2.3 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 18% | 27% | 33% | 23% | -5.3 | -4.8 | +10.1 | 0.0 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 15% | 21% | 40% | 23% | +36.3 | -31.7 | -2.7 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 6,000 | 39% | 7% | 35% | 20% | -6.5 | -5.2 | -4.2 | +15.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 6% | 32% | 31% | +2.5 | +3.1 | -1.2 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 35% | 7% | 32% | 27% | -20.9 | -3.4 | +24.1 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 14% | 5% | 58% | 23% | +5.5 | -8.5 | -3.1 | +6.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 1% | 54% | 28% | -11.1 | -3.5 | -23.6 | +38.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 6% | 0% | 11% | 83% | -2.9 | -1.4 | -0.6 | +4.9 |