Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

2/9 Game 2

Jun Murakami finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +39.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Jun Murakami● Aiko Hinata● Yudai Maehara● Kazunori Takizawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Jun● Aiko● Yudai● Kazunori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAiko Hinata
1st-place chance
Yudai Maehara
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Jun Murakami
1st-place chance
Aiko Hinata
Expected pt change
Yudai Maehara
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Jun Murakami
Expected pt change
East 1Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Aiko Hinata24%25%26%26%-1.3+0.6+1.8-1.0
East 2Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,00022%25%28%26%-6.3-13.4+22.6-2.9
East 3Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,00016%16%46%23%+26.9-9.2-12.9-4.8
East 4Kazunori Takizawa ron 6,400 from Yudai Maehara37%10%32%20%-2.6-13.8+22.9-6.6
South 1Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara29%5%54%11%-7.5-21.7-3.0+32.3
South 2Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,70020%1%48%30%+10.2-4.5-1.7-4.0
South 3Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa29%0%45%26%-3.1+0.2-36.4+39.4
South 4Exhaustive draw14%0%5%81%-2.3-0.5-3.9+6.7

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)