Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/11 Game 1
Naoki Setokuma finished 1st (+55.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000, which moved Naoki Setokuma's expected points by +56.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 26% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -1.9 | -5.6 | +0.8 | +6.7 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 22% | 25% | 30% | -9.3 | -16.7 | -6.9 | +33.0 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 9% | 17% | 59% | -8.9 | -10.1 | +29.9 | -10.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 11% | 7% | 38% | 45% | +7.3 | -1.3 | -8.2 | +2.3 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 16,000 | 14% | 7% | 31% | 48% | -15.2 | +45.8 | -8.2 | -22.5 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 9% | 33% | 28% | 30% | +44.9 | -40.0 | -2.9 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 38% | 9% | 26% | 27% | -18.5 | -1.9 | +19.6 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 9% | 44% | 27% | +33.0 | -14.5 | -10.5 | -7.9 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 55% | 1% | 25% | 19% | +7.6 | +4.3 | -6.2 | -5.7 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 72% | 1% | 14% | 13% | -29.3 | -6.1 | -20.7 | +56.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 0% | 4% | 81% | -3.0 | +1.1 | -3.7 | +5.6 |