Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/11 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +37.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | -3.9 | -2.5 | -18.2 | +24.6 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 22% | 14% | 44% | -9.4 | -17.3 | +33.2 | -6.4 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 12% | 35% | 38% | -5.8 | -4.8 | +19.1 | -8.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 8% | 52% | 28% | +5.5 | -0.8 | -3.1 | -1.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 10% | 49% | 28% | -3.3 | -2.7 | +5.8 | +0.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 11% | 8% | 55% | 26% | -26.6 | -0.9 | -7.8 | +35.2 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 3% | 4% | 36% | 57% | +15.0 | -2.2 | +7.8 | -20.6 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 5% | 54% | 36% | +33.1 | -10.3 | -11.1 | -11.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 24% | 5% | 43% | 28% | -34.7 | +1.4 | -4.1 | +37.4 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 1% | 3% | 26% | 69% | +19.3 | -20.0 | -1.6 | +2.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 0% | 23% | 73% | +0.6 | -1.3 | +5.4 | -4.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 0% | 30% | 66% | -2.3 | -0.4 | -7.5 | +10.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 0% | 14% | 83% | -1.9 | -1.2 | -4.2 | +7.3 |