Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/12 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+62.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +44.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +4.7 | -0.6 | -3.0 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 29% | 23% | 23% | 25% | -9.0 | +13.2 | -2.2 | -1.9 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,300 from Go Kobayashi | 23% | 33% | 22% | 23% | +1.7 | -3.6 | +2.5 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 23% | 29% | 24% | 24% | -0.6 | +4.2 | -17.0 | +13.4 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 33% | 13% | 32% | -7.4 | +25.4 | -4.5 | -13.5 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 58% | 8% | 18% | -14.9 | -5.1 | -6.3 | +26.4 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 5% | 50% | 6% | 38% | +0.1 | -3.5 | -12.4 | +15.7 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 2% | 40% | 3% | 55% | -0.8 | -11.2 | -5.6 | +17.6 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 86% | +0.3 | +44.9 | -5.2 | -40.0 |