Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/12 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+62.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +44.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | +7.1 | -2.2 | -1.1 | -3.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 30% | 24% | 23% | 23% | -8.2 | +12.7 | -1.4 | -3.1 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Kobayashi Go | 23% | 32% | 23% | 23% | +1.2 | -1.0 | +4.2 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 23% | 31% | 26% | 20% | -1.1 | +2.9 | -19.0 | +17.3 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 34% | 14% | 30% | -7.9 | +24.9 | -5.3 | -11.7 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 59% | 9% | 18% | -15.7 | -3.2 | -6.6 | +25.5 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 5% | 53% | 5% | 37% | +1.3 | -5.8 | -11.3 | +15.8 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo | 2% | 39% | 4% | 55% | -1.4 | -10.3 | -5.5 | +17.2 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 86% | +0.2 | +44.7 | -5.5 | -39.5 |