Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/16 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+66.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +5.0 | -2.2 | -1.1 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 29% | 23% | 24% | 23% | -6.5 | -1.0 | +7.1 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 23% | 23% | 29% | 25% | +2.1 | -11.7 | +10.7 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 25% | 15% | 37% | 23% | -0.1 | -2.1 | -3.3 | +5.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 25% | 14% | 34% | 27% | -1.0 | +14.1 | -10.9 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 23% | 27% | 26% | -16.4 | +28.5 | -6.4 | -5.7 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 7,700 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 12% | 47% | 21% | 20% | +1.0 | +21.5 | -22.5 | -0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 8% | 71% | 7% | 14% | +3.3 | +21.7 | +5.1 | -30.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 93% | 3% | 2% | -11.7 | -9.8 | -13.0 | +34.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 88% | 3% | 8% | -2.2 | -3.1 | +2.2 | +3.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 84% | 4% | 11% | +28.5 | 0.0 | -17.3 | -11.2 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,500 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 4% | 88% | 0% | 7% | -1.5 | -0.8 | -3.2 | +5.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 86% | 0% | 10% | -17.1 | -21.0 | -4.5 | +42.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 46% | 0% | 52% | -4.3 | +32.6 | -1.8 | -26.5 |