Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/18 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+55.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -0.6 | -7.4 | -1.2 | +9.3 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 23% | 20% | 24% | 32% | +34.7 | -30.3 | -1.9 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 51% | 5% | 18% | 25% | -12.0 | -5.8 | -14.7 | +32.5 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho | 33% | 3% | 9% | 55% | +2.1 | -2.3 | -1.0 | +1.2 |
| South 1 | Maruyama Kanako ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 34% | 2% | 7% | 56% | -6.9 | -2.3 | +6.4 | +2.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 25% | 3% | 10% | 62% | -0.7 | +3.7 | -1.3 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 26% | 3% | 10% | 60% | +14.4 | -10.4 | -1.3 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 2,100 | 40% | 0% | 7% | 53% | -1.4 | -2.7 | +6.0 | -1.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho | 39% | 0% | 9% | 51% | -3.4 | -1.4 | -6.6 | +11.4 |
| South 4 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 0% | 1% | 73% | -11.3 | -1.8 | +6.7 | +6.4 |