Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/18 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+55.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +30.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -1.4 | -7.4 | +0.9 | +7.9 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 24% | 21% | 25% | 31% | +33.4 | -30.1 | -4.4 | +1.2 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 6% | 19% | 28% | -9.6 | -5.9 | -15.4 | +30.8 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 33% | 3% | 8% | 55% | +2.8 | -2.5 | +1.2 | -1.5 |
| South 1 | Kanako Maruyama ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 35% | 2% | 7% | 55% | -8.4 | -1.3 | +5.8 | +3.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 2% | 9% | 63% | -2.0 | +4.9 | -1.6 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 25% | 4% | 10% | 61% | +15.3 | -12.2 | -0.7 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 2,100 | 39% | 0% | 7% | 54% | -2.2 | -3.0 | +5.9 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 37% | 0% | 9% | 53% | -2.6 | -1.5 | -6.5 | +10.5 |
| South 4 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 0% | 1% | 73% | -10.9 | -1.7 | +6.7 | +5.9 |