Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/18 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+114.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 36,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +79.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 27% | 25% | 24% | -10.7 | -8.4 | +21.9 | -2.8 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 36,000 | 16% | 21% | 41% | 22% | -23.0 | +79.2 | -30.5 | -25.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000 | 2% | 88% | 6% | 4% | -7.9 | +22.4 | -8.0 | -6.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 9,600 | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -2.9 | +11.2 | -3.3 | -5.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | -4.6 | +13.3 | -4.4 | -4.4 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -3.6 | -3.6 | +9.6 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -0.1 | -3.4 | +4.8 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -8.8 | +0.1 | +0.5 | +8.2 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +5.6 | -2.7 | +0.5 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,300 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -2.6 | +1.7 | +3.0 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -2.1 | -1.6 | +3.9 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +6.2 | -0.5 | -1.8 | -4.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -11.9 | +3.6 | +1.9 | +6.4 |