Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/18 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+114.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 36,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +77.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -14.1 | -3.4 | +22.6 | -5.2 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 36,000 | 15% | 21% | 41% | 23% | -22.9 | +77.7 | -31.1 | -23.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000 | 2% | 86% | 7% | 5% | -6.7 | +23.4 | -6.8 | -9.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 9,600 | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -3.5 | +10.4 | -4.7 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | -3.8 | +13.6 | -5.0 | -4.8 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -3.2 | -3.5 | +10.9 | -4.2 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -0.8 | -4.1 | +4.8 | 0.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -7.6 | +1.2 | -0.6 | +7.1 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +4.0 | -2.4 | +0.9 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,300 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -2.8 | +0.7 | +3.0 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -1.7 | -1.4 | +4.1 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +6.0 | -0.7 | -1.5 | -3.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -11.4 | +3.8 | +1.7 | +5.8 |