Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/19 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+69.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Takizawa Kazunori ron 18,000 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +47.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -14.2 | -6.2 | -4.0 | +24.5 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 20% | 21% | 45% | -2.0 | -14.0 | +21.6 | -5.6 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 14% | 11% | 36% | 38% | -3.2 | +21.0 | -23.4 | +5.6 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 14% | 22% | 19% | 45% | +14.4 | +1.9 | +1.4 | -17.7 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 26% | 21% | 31% | -10.0 | +21.3 | -6.6 | -4.6 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 44% | 17% | 25% | -8.6 | -14.9 | +32.5 | -8.9 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 18,000 from Asakura Koshin | 11% | 28% | 42% | 19% | +6.7 | -55.3 | +47.0 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 0% | 95% | 5% | +16.7 | -2.3 | +0.3 | -14.7 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | +4.1 | +23.2 | +1.5 | -28.9 |