Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/19 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+69.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kazunori Takizawa ron 18,000 from Koshin Asakura, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +46.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | -9.6 | -8.8 | -7.1 | +25.5 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 19% | 19% | 44% | -5.5 | -15.0 | +23.1 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 12% | 11% | 36% | 42% | -0.7 | +23.2 | -23.8 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 14% | 23% | 19% | 44% | +15.1 | +1.6 | -0.3 | -16.4 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 26% | 20% | 30% | -11.6 | +20.0 | -3.6 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 44% | 17% | 25% | -7.5 | -15.3 | +31.8 | -8.9 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 18,000 from Koshin Asakura | 11% | 27% | 42% | 20% | +6.1 | -54.8 | +46.9 | +1.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 1% | 0% | 94% | 5% | +16.5 | -1.9 | -0.1 | -14.5 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | +4.0 | +23.4 | +1.9 | -29.3 |