Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/19 Game 2
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+57.0pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +51.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -1.3 | -19.8 | -4.4 | +25.5 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 20% | 14% | 21% | 46% | +22.3 | -20.5 | -0.7 | -1.0 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 37% | 5% | 18% | 41% | +15.4 | -3.5 | -8.4 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 51% | 3% | 11% | 35% | +2.3 | +7.8 | -9.5 | -0.6 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 55% | 5% | 7% | 33% | +3.1 | +9.7 | -0.3 | -12.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 64% | 6% | 8% | 22% | +7.9 | -12.4 | +0.9 | +3.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 75% | 1% | 6% | 18% | -14.8 | -10.2 | +39.0 | -14.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 0% | 29% | 16% | -17.5 | -4.8 | -29.3 | +51.6 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 18% | 0% | 4% | 79% | -33.3 | +0.1 | +25.6 | +7.6 |