Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/22 Game 1
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +25.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -5.3 | +0.3 | -1.8 | +6.8 |
| East 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 21% | 24% | 26% | 30% | -0.5 | -21.8 | -1.2 | +23.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 11% | 23% | 48% | +2.9 | -4.9 | +6.5 | -4.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 21% | 9% | 27% | 44% | -1.4 | +1.2 | -25.7 | +25.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 6% | 8% | 72% | -0.3 | -4.0 | +6.7 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 5% | 10% | 71% | +9.0 | -3.0 | -3.4 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 19% | 5% | 9% | 68% | -6.8 | -0.8 | +5.5 | +2.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 6% | 11% | 72% | -13.2 | -18.8 | +41.4 | -9.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 4% | 0% | 40% | 56% | +4.3 | -1.7 | +0.8 | -3.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 5% | 0% | 44% | 51% | -5.9 | +0.1 | -9.6 | +15.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Setokuma Naoki | 2% | 0% | 20% | 79% | -12.2 | +1.9 | -5.4 | +15.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 4% | 96% | +2.7 | -2.2 | -0.9 | +0.4 |