Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/22 Game 1
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +26.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -4.5 | +0.8 | -3.1 | +6.8 |
| East 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 23% | 25% | 23% | 29% | -0.6 | -22.4 | +1.1 | +21.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 11% | 22% | 48% | -1.3 | -3.5 | +7.6 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 18% | 9% | 28% | 45% | +1.3 | -1.8 | -25.9 | +26.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 6% | 9% | 73% | -1.5 | -1.9 | +5.5 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 5% | 9% | 73% | +8.0 | -2.4 | -1.8 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 4% | 10% | 68% | -4.3 | -3.8 | +4.0 | +4.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 4% | 9% | 76% | -13.7 | -16.9 | +44.3 | -13.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 0% | 43% | 52% | +4.6 | -1.9 | -0.3 | -2.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 5% | 0% | 46% | 49% | -6.3 | +0.3 | -11.4 | +17.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 7,700 from Naoki Setokuma | 2% | 0% | 18% | 80% | -11.8 | +1.7 | -4.7 | +14.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 5% | 95% | +2.6 | -2.1 | -0.9 | +0.4 |